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Red108
822227.1
319335.9
541327.4
Blue94
99979.3
201033.9
460120.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10054015020010894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +4
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
76Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
108Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3193
#14
35.90.5
34.034.5
Auto5.4
Teleop28.6
End2.0
red by 2.0
33.90.7
33.233.9
Auto5.4
Teleop24.7
End3.9
Second
5413
#13
27.40.5
25.526.0
Auto5.0
Teleop16.0
End6.4
red by 6.9
4601
#16
20.50.7
19.720.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End2.5
Third
8222
#10
27.10.5
25.125.6
Auto2.0
Teleop17.8
End7.2
red by 17.8
9.31.2
8.09.3
Auto0.1
Teleop6.4
End2.8