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Red169
406869.3
346529.7
1062620.4
Blue139
216528.3
452279.7
900722.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98135050150200250169139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points25
34Total auto31
TeleoperatedRed +25
25Coral scored#16
89Coral points56
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
12Processor points24
28Net points24
40Algae points48
129Total teleop104
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#6
7L2#5
8L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
169Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.36.2
53.359.6
Auto20.1
Teleop45.9
End3.3
blue by 10.4
79.70.9
64.565.4
Auto20.0
Teleop51.7
End8.0
Second
3465
#27
29.75.7
14.920.6
Auto4.6
Teleop22.6
End2.6
red by 1.4
2165
#38
28.31.1
30.131.2
Auto4.1
Teleop23.1
End1.2
Third
20.45.1
20.425.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.5
blue by 1.8
9007
#35
22.21.4
16.417.8
Auto3.6
Teleop16.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed