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Red83
183218.5
156161.0
234516.9
Blue69
476642.0
460329.7
234118.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89820501001502008369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+16Teleop
+18Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +20
11Coral scored#6
40Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
50Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
4Foul points8
83Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.4
47.246.8
Auto14.4
Teleop39.0
End7.6
red by 19.0
42.01.3
32.731.4
Auto7.9
Teleop28.3
End5.7
Second
1832
#31
18.51.2
18.517.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
blue by 11.2
4603
#11
29.71.2
20.819.6
Auto6.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
Third
2345
#17
16.90.3
12.512.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End0.9
blue by 1.2
2341
#36
18.01.2
20.118.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed