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Red89
680929.4
208334.2
233326.4
Blue102
1037810.6
871120.5
545441.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787205010015020025030035040089102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+29
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
11Coral scored#19
40Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
64Total teleop93
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#24
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
89Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#39
34.20.9
33.134.0
Auto6.9
Teleop24.3
End3.0
blue by 7.5
41.72.3
31.233.5
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End2.8
Second
6809
#13
29.41.1
19.120.2
Auto3.6
Teleop17.5
End8.3
red by 8.9
8711
#44
20.52.1
14.516.6
Auto1.8
Teleop15.6
End3.1
Third
2333
#19
26.40.8
11.712.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.8
End7.1
red by 15.8
10.610.0
10.620.6
Auto2.0
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed