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Red79
120926.1
555050.6
947210.8
Blue62
713029.5
237337.8
193926.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7689501001507962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+7Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points13
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#5
38Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
44Total teleop27
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
16Foul points6
79Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5550
#12
50.60.9
39.038.2
Auto10.4
Teleop35.5
End4.8
red by 12.8
37.82.9
26.423.4
Auto6.3
Teleop27.2
End4.2
Second
1209
#20
26.11.0
24.423.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End1.7
blue by 3.4
7130
#32
29.52.0
26.524.6
Auto6.1
Teleop20.3
End3.1
Third
9472
#46
10.81.0
9.08.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End0.9
blue by 15.3
1939
#41
26.12.0
26.624.6
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned