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Red55
900722.2
452318.1
183218.5
Blue132
1066128.8
176435.8
193926.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5989020408010012014016055132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+57
Endgame+67
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +47
8Coral scored#17
30Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
6Processor points18
4Net points8
10Algae points26
40Total teleop87
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#8
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
0Foul points10
55Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9007
#35
22.21.0
17.816.8
Auto3.6
Teleop16.4
End2.2
blue by 13.6
1764
#18
35.82.4
32.234.6
Auto8.3
Teleop25.3
End2.2
Second
1832
#31
18.51.0
17.316.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
blue by 10.2
28.82.9
18.121.1
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End6.6
Third
4523
#45
18.10.7
17.917.2
Auto1.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
blue by 8.0
1939
#41
26.12.4
24.627.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsEarned