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Red89
277319.3
3128.0
602627.1
Blue58
871120.5
239516.8
235919.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655702040801001201408958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
16Coral scored#10
58Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
76Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
89Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31
#15
28.02.0
19.421.4
Auto3.6
Teleop18.0
End6.3
red by 7.5
8711
#44
20.50.0
16.616.6
Auto1.8
Teleop15.6
End3.1
Second
6026
#28
27.12.0
22.324.3
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End0.3
red by 7.9
2359
#33
19.10.0
12.312.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Third
2773
#30
19.32.0
9.211.2
Auto1.9
Teleop14.9
End2.6
red by 2.5
2395
#43
16.80.0
17.517.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed