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Red56
947210.8
1037810.6
198659.3
Blue137
555050.6
235240.4
946219.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939060708010011012013056137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+79
Endgame+81
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +76
6Coral scored#21
20Coral points74
0Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
0Processor points18
12Net points16
12Algae points34
32Total teleop108
Reef
3L4#12
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
13Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points0
56Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.31.9
56.154.2
Auto14.7
Teleop38.6
End6.1
red by 8.7
5550
#12
50.63.4
38.241.6
Auto10.4
Teleop35.5
End4.8
Second
9472
#46
10.82.1
8.05.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End0.9
blue by 29.6
2352
#37
40.43.8
30.033.8
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End2.2
Third
10.63.2
20.617.4
Auto2.0
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 9.0
9462
#23
19.73.8
17.421.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed