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Red107
588921.1
642464.6
1062620.4
Blue72
543712.0
234516.9
509830.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119645010015020010772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+23Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
68Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
107Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.7
52.753.4
Auto12.3
Teleop40.8
End11.5
red by 34.0
5098
#26
30.60.7
33.734.5
Auto6.5
Teleop19.7
End4.4
Second
5889
#42
21.10.7
18.919.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.8
End2.6
red by 4.3
2345
#17
16.90.7
12.212.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End0.9
Third
20.41.1
25.626.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.5
red by 8.4
5437
#25
12.00.7
14.915.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed