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Red198
406869.3
452279.7
460329.7
Blue76
324729.0
233326.4
237337.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17559010015020025030019876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+122Teleop
+122Endgame
+122Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
6Leave9
9Coral scored#0
45Coral points0
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +80
23Coral scored#10
83Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
9Net algae#2
12Processor points6
36Net points8
48Algae points14
131Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#4
11L3#3
8L2#1
5L1 · trough#2
43Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +122
0Foul points0
198Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.73.3
69.672.9
Auto20.0
Teleop51.7
End8.0
red by 41.9
37.81.5
24.025.5
Auto6.3
Teleop27.2
End4.2
Second
69.33.7
60.764.3
Auto20.1
Teleop45.9
End3.3
red by 40.2
3247
#29
29.00.9
24.825.7
Auto4.8
Teleop21.0
End3.3
Third
4603
#11
29.73.3
18.321.6
Auto6.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
red by 3.3
2333
#19
26.40.9
13.914.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned