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Red108
316314.5
400552.7
216528.3
Blue79
193926.1
234118.0
183218.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1237205010015010879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
74Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points6
108Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4005
#10
52.71.9
47.445.5
Auto11.0
Teleop31.8
End9.8
red by 26.6
1939
#41
26.11.7
27.025.3
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End2.9
Second
2165
#38
28.31.9
31.129.2
Auto4.1
Teleop23.1
End1.2
red by 9.8
1832
#31
18.52.9
16.313.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
Third
3163
#21
14.53.1
19.916.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 3.5
2341
#36
18.01.7
20.118.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned