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Red104
871120.5
3128.0
208334.2
Blue159
393131.9
198659.3
476642.0
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7512650100150200104159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+45
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +24
16Coral scored#21
59Coral points75
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
12Processor points24
20Net points16
32Algae points40
91Total teleop115
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
104Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#39
34.21.5
34.536.0
Auto6.9
Teleop24.3
End3.0
blue by 25.1
59.32.7
54.256.8
Auto14.7
Teleop38.6
End6.1
Second
31
#15
28.01.4
21.422.7
Auto3.6
Teleop18.0
End6.3
blue by 14.0
42.02.7
31.334.0
Auto7.9
Teleop28.3
End5.7
Third
8711
#44
20.51.4
16.618.0
Auto1.8
Teleop15.6
End3.1
blue by 11.4
3931
#14
31.93.0
22.125.1
Auto8.6
Teleop21.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned