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Qual 212025 Oklahoma Regional
Red20
946219.7
176435.8
543712.0
Blue47
120926.1
181923.3
234516.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81571001502047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
2Coral scored#4
7Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
7Total teleop29
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points2
20Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#18
35.83.4
34.6→31.2
Auto8.3
Teleop25.3
End2.2
red by 9.7
1209
#20
26.10.7
23.3→22.7
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Second
9462
#23
19.73.4
21.3→17.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End5.7
blue by 3.6
1819
#22
23.30.7
18.7→18.0
Auto4.2
Teleop17.2
End1.9
Third
5437
#25
12.03.4
15.6→12.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
blue by 4.9
2345
#17
16.90.7
12.9→12.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed