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Red14
1037710.5
947210.8
239516.8
Blue51
1062620.4
1037810.6
509830.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34960501501451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +23
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points23
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
4Total teleop27
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points6
14Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2395
#43
16.81.6
17.515.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 13.8
5098
#26
30.62.2
34.532.2
Auto6.5
Teleop19.7
End4.4
Second
9472
#46
10.81.6
5.94.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End0.9
blue by 9.6
20.43.7
26.722.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.5
Third
10.52.6
14.311.6
Auto2.0
Teleop6.4
End2.1
blue by 0.1
10.63.7
17.413.7
Auto2.0
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed