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Red164
642464.6
235240.4
346529.7
Blue113
602627.1
588921.1
555050.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1259150150200164113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+39Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points11
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +43
27Coral scored#17
98Coral points61
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
132Total teleop89
Reef
15L4#9
5L3#4
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
164Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.63.0
53.456.3
Auto12.3
Teleop40.8
End11.5
red by 13.9
5550
#12
50.61.1
41.642.7
Auto10.4
Teleop35.5
End4.8
Second
2352
#37
40.43.0
33.836.7
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End2.2
red by 13.3
6026
#28
27.11.1
24.325.4
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End0.3
Third
3465
#27
29.73.0
21.224.1
Auto4.6
Teleop22.6
End2.6
red by 8.6
5889
#42
21.11.1
19.620.7
Auto2.7
Teleop15.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed