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Red115
317935.7
235919.1
713029.5
Blue95
545441.7
900722.2
1066128.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8893608010012014011595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
24Coral scored#17
85Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
99Total teleop74
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#4
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
115Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3179
#24
35.72.0
32.934.9
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End4.1
blue by 6.0
41.70.3
38.739.0
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End2.8
Second
7130
#32
29.52.0
25.527.5
Auto6.1
Teleop20.3
End3.1
red by 0.7
28.80.3
21.121.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End6.6
Third
2359
#33
19.12.0
12.314.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
blue by 3.1
9007
#35
22.20.5
16.817.3
Auto3.6
Teleop16.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed