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Red41
1062620.4
316314.5
476642.0
Blue103
271843.8
120926.1
3128.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8491406010012014041103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+30
Endgame+38
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +26
5Coral scored#10
17Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
23Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points24
41Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.02.2
34.031.8
Auto7.9
Teleop28.3
End5.7
blue by 1.8
43.80.3
37.737.5
Auto10.2
Teleop29.5
End4.1
Second
20.43.6
22.919.3
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.5
blue by 7.6
31
#15
28.00.3
22.722.5
Auto3.6
Teleop18.0
End6.3
Third
3163
#21
14.53.6
16.913.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 11.6
1209
#20
26.10.3
22.722.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned