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Red136
460329.7
642464.6
216528.3
Blue73
235240.4
588921.1
947210.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142735010020013673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+53Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
20Coral scored#11
71Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
99Total teleop60
Reef
8L4#5
9L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
136Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.61.0
56.357.3
Auto12.3
Teleop40.8
End11.5
red by 24.2
2352
#37
40.40.1
36.736.7
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End2.2
Second
4603
#11
29.71.0
21.622.5
Auto6.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
red by 8.6
5889
#42
21.10.1
20.720.7
Auto2.7
Teleop15.8
End2.6
Third
2165
#38
28.31.0
29.230.2
Auto4.1
Teleop23.1
End1.2
red by 17.5
9472
#46
10.80.1
4.34.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed