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Red69
713029.5
452318.1
181923.3
Blue85
317935.7
602627.1
1037810.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7190204060801001201401606985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
11Coral scored#11
41Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
61Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
69Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7130
#32
29.50.0
27.527.5
Auto6.1
Teleop20.3
End3.1
blue by 6.2
3179
#24
35.70.5
34.935.5
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End4.1
Second
1819
#22
23.30.0
18.018.0
Auto4.2
Teleop17.2
End1.9
blue by 3.8
6026
#28
27.10.5
25.425.9
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End0.3
Third
4523
#45
18.10.0
17.317.3
Auto1.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
red by 7.4
10.60.9
13.714.6
Auto2.0
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned