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Red101
234516.9
946219.7
198659.3
Blue58
235919.1
1037710.5
1066128.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10851015020010158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +18
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
64Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
8Foul points0
101Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.2
56.856.7
Auto14.7
Teleop38.6
End6.1
red by 30.5
28.80.2
21.421.6
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End6.6
Second
9462
#23
19.70.2
17.817.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End5.7
red by 0.5
2359
#33
19.10.2
14.314.5
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Third
2345
#17
16.90.2
12.312.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End0.9
red by 6.3
10.50.3
11.611.9
Auto2.0
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed