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Red116
372922.3
545441.7
393131.9
Blue107
183218.5
555050.6
509830.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8999406080120140160180116107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+5Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +1
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points49
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
80Total teleop79
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#4
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#25
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
116Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.71.6
39.040.6
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End2.8
blue by 8.9
5550
#12
50.60.6
42.743.3
Auto10.4
Teleop35.5
End4.8
Second
3931
#14
31.91.6
25.126.7
Auto8.6
Teleop21.7
End1.7
red by 1.3
5098
#26
30.60.6
32.232.9
Auto6.5
Teleop19.7
End4.4
Third
3729
#34
22.31.6
19.421.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End2.6
red by 3.7
1832
#31
18.51.1
13.414.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed