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Red57
234118.0
235240.4
871120.5
Blue61
713029.5
1066128.8
239516.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87712040601001201401605761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+2
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
44Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
57Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#37
40.41.0
36.735.7
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End2.2
red by 10.9
7130
#32
29.50.1
27.527.3
Auto6.1
Teleop20.3
End3.1
Second
8711
#44
20.51.0
18.317.3
Auto1.8
Teleop15.6
End3.1
blue by 8.2
28.80.1
21.621.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End6.6
Third
2341
#36
18.01.0
16.615.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.2
red by 1.2
2395
#43
16.80.1
14.214.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed