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Red106
198659.3
193926.1
1037710.5
Blue115
642464.6
545441.7
271843.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10015350200106115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#17
47Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
65Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#8
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
106Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.7
56.757.4
Auto14.7
Teleop38.6
End6.1
blue by 5.3
64.61.4
57.355.9
Auto12.3
Teleop40.8
End11.5
Second
1939
#41
26.10.7
27.027.7
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End2.9
blue by 17.7
43.81.4
37.536.1
Auto10.2
Teleop29.5
End4.1
Third
10.51.2
11.913.1
Auto2.0
Teleop6.4
End2.1
blue by 31.2
41.71.4
40.639.3
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned