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Red104
543712.0
452279.7
235919.1
Blue96
237337.8
317935.7
183218.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114905010015020010496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
+2Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
11Coral scored#15
39Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
61Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
6Foul points0
104Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.70.7
75.174.4
Auto20.0
Teleop51.7
End8.0
red by 41.9
37.80.9
29.130.0
Auto6.3
Teleop27.2
End4.2
Second
2359
#33
19.10.7
14.513.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
blue by 16.6
3179
#24
35.70.5
35.536.0
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End4.1
Third
5437
#25
12.00.7
10.49.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
blue by 6.6
1832
#31
18.50.9
14.515.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed