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Red92
120926.1
1062620.4
1066128.8
Blue118
346529.7
460329.7
400552.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57108015020092118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+16
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
61Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
92Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.82.0
21.423.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End6.6
blue by 23.9
4005
#10
52.71.5
45.246.7
Auto11.0
Teleop31.8
End9.8
Second
1209
#20
26.12.0
21.723.7
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End1.7
blue by 3.6
3465
#27
29.71.5
27.929.4
Auto4.6
Teleop22.6
End2.6
Third
20.43.3
19.422.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.5
blue by 9.3
4603
#11
29.71.5
22.624.0
Auto6.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned