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Red57
372922.3
233326.4
193926.1
Blue107
3128.0
680929.4
235240.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759205015020057107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+52
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +52
7Coral scored#16
24Coral points56
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
32Total teleop84
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#7
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
57Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#19
26.40.7
17.316.6
Auto3.5
Teleop15.8
End7.1
blue by 13.9
2352
#37
40.41.6
35.737.3
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End2.2
Second
1939
#41
26.10.7
27.727.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End2.9
blue by 3.3
6809
#13
29.42.6
25.227.8
Auto3.6
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Third
3729
#34
22.30.7
22.521.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End2.6
blue by 5.8
31
#15
28.01.6
22.524.1
Auto3.6
Teleop18.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned