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Red122
555050.6
324729.0
181923.3
Blue52
1037710.5
900722.2
871120.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10952010015020012252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+56Teleop
+58Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +43
18Coral scored#7
63Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
85Total teleop42
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
12Foul points0
122Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5550
#12
50.60.6
45.946.4
Auto10.4
Teleop35.5
End4.8
red by 28.4
9007
#35
22.20.8
17.917.1
Auto3.6
Teleop16.4
End2.2
Second
3247
#29
29.00.6
24.324.8
Auto4.8
Teleop21.0
End3.3
red by 8.5
8711
#44
20.50.5
17.316.8
Auto1.8
Teleop15.6
End3.1
Third
1819
#22
23.30.6
20.320.9
Auto4.2
Teleop17.2
End1.9
red by 12.8
10.50.8
13.112.2
Auto2.0
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed