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Red58
235919.1
176435.8
1037810.6
Blue144
476642.0
543712.0
156161.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6711005010015020058144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+68
Endgame+78
Fouls+86
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +47
6Coral scored#18
23Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
45Total teleop92
Reef
2L4#9
2L3#5
1L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +86
0Foul points8
58Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#18
35.80.8
34.133.3
Auto8.3
Teleop25.3
End2.2
blue by 25.2
61.02.3
52.554.7
Auto14.4
Teleop39.0
End7.6
Second
2359
#33
19.10.8
13.813.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
blue by 22.9
42.02.3
34.136.4
Auto7.9
Teleop28.3
End5.7
Third
10.61.3
16.315.0
Auto2.0
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 1.3
5437
#25
12.02.3
9.712.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned