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Red108
239516.8
183218.5
642464.6
Blue89
947210.8
317935.7
208334.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049605015020010889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+5Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points23
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
73Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#4
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
108Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.9
55.956.8
Auto12.3
Teleop40.8
End11.5
red by 28.8
3179
#24
35.70.1
36.036.1
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End4.1
Second
1832
#31
18.51.5
15.416.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
blue by 15.7
2083
#39
34.20.1
35.235.4
Auto6.9
Teleop24.3
End3.0
Third
2395
#43
16.80.9
14.014.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
red by 6.0
9472
#46
10.80.1
7.87.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed