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Red133
602627.1
234516.9
406869.3
Blue172
452279.7
509830.6
271843.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10515550200250133172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +16
22Coral scored#24
79Coral points87
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
99Total teleop115
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#13
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
133Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.31.2
63.264.4
Auto20.1
Teleop45.9
End3.3
blue by 10.4
79.70.8
74.475.2
Auto20.0
Teleop51.7
End8.0
Second
6026
#28
27.11.2
25.326.5
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End0.3
blue by 16.8
43.80.8
36.136.9
Auto10.2
Teleop29.5
End4.1
Third
2345
#17
16.91.2
14.715.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End0.9
blue by 13.8
5098
#26
30.60.8
32.333.1
Auto6.5
Teleop19.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned