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Red81
216528.3
237337.8
234118.0
Blue101
946219.7
277319.3
393131.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987305015081101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +11
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
62Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
81Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.82.6
30.027.4
Auto6.3
Teleop27.2
End4.2
red by 5.9
3931
#14
31.91.1
26.127.3
Auto8.6
Teleop21.7
End1.7
Second
2165
#38
28.31.6
31.630.1
Auto4.1
Teleop23.1
End1.2
red by 8.7
9462
#23
19.71.1
17.718.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End5.7
Third
2341
#36
18.01.6
15.614.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.2
blue by 1.3
2773
#30
19.31.1
16.517.6
Auto1.9
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned