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Red129
400552.7
476642.0
372922.3
Blue71
713029.5
1037710.5
543712.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12143010015020012971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +41
16Coral scored#9
56Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
6Processor points6
28Net points12
34Algae points18
90Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
129Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4005
#10
52.70.8
46.747.5
Auto11.0
Teleop31.8
End9.8
red by 23.2
7130
#32
29.50.3
27.728.0
Auto6.1
Teleop20.3
End3.1
Second
42.00.8
36.437.2
Auto7.9
Teleop28.3
End5.7
red by 30.0
5437
#25
12.00.3
12.012.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Third
3729
#34
22.30.8
21.822.6
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End2.6
red by 11.7
10.50.4
12.212.7
Auto2.0
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed