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Red179
156161.0
198659.3
871120.5
Blue62
1062620.4
193926.1
317935.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1468505010020025017962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+99Teleop
+117Endgame
+117Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +85
29Coral scored#9
106Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
132Total teleop47
Reef
10L4#4
13L3#1
8L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
40Game pieces#12
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +117
0Foul points0
179Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.02.5
54.757.3
Auto14.4
Teleop39.0
End7.6
red by 25.2
3179
#24
35.72.3
36.133.8
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End4.1
Second
59.32.5
58.360.8
Auto14.7
Teleop38.6
End6.1
red by 33.2
1939
#41
26.12.3
27.024.6
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End2.9
Third
8711
#44
20.52.5
16.819.4
Auto1.8
Teleop15.6
End3.1
red by 0.1
20.43.9
22.618.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed