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Red177
602627.1
237337.8
271843.8
Blue90
216528.3
183218.5
1037810.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218205010015020017790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+77Teleop
+77Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +60
29Coral scored#17
104Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
140Total teleop80
Reef
14L4#8
9L3#2
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
10Foul points0
177Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.82.9
36.939.8
Auto10.2
Teleop29.5
End4.1
red by 15.5
2165
#38
28.30.7
30.129.4
Auto4.1
Teleop23.1
End1.2
Second
37.84.8
27.432.2
Auto6.3
Teleop27.2
End4.2
red by 19.3
1832
#31
18.51.1
16.915.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
Third
6026
#28
27.12.9
26.529.4
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End0.3
red by 16.4
10.61.1
15.013.9
Auto2.0
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed