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Red135
233326.4
947210.8
642464.6
Blue89
393131.9
900722.2
120926.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95722040608012014016013589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+22Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
18Coral scored#11
66Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
86Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#20
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
135Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.63.2
56.860.0
Auto12.3
Teleop40.8
End11.5
red by 32.6
3931
#14
31.91.1
27.328.3
Auto8.6
Teleop21.7
End1.7
Second
2333
#19
26.43.2
16.619.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.8
End7.1
red by 0.3
1209
#20
26.11.1
23.724.8
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Third
9472
#46
10.83.2
7.911.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End0.9
blue by 11.4
9007
#35
22.21.8
17.118.8
Auto3.6
Teleop16.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed