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Red84
277319.3
509830.6
545441.7
Blue77
946219.7
324729.0
346529.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105790501502008477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+19Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +20
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
68Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
84Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.6
39.739.0
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End2.8
red by 12.0
3465
#27
29.70.1
29.429.2
Auto4.6
Teleop22.6
End2.6
Second
5098
#26
30.60.6
33.132.4
Auto6.5
Teleop19.7
End4.4
red by 1.6
3247
#29
29.00.1
24.824.7
Auto4.8
Teleop21.0
End3.3
Third
2773
#30
19.30.6
17.617.0
Auto1.9
Teleop14.9
End2.6
blue by 0.3
9462
#23
19.70.1
18.918.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned