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Red68
324729.0
372922.3
239516.8
Blue92
642464.6
235919.1
181923.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641070501506892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+26
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +15
10Coral scored#14
37Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
55Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
68Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3247
#29
29.00.3
19.119.4
Auto4.8
Teleop21.0
End3.3
blue by 35.6
64.60.1
52.752.7
Auto12.3
Teleop40.8
End11.5
Second
3729
#34
22.30.3
19.419.7
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End2.6
blue by 1.0
1819
#22
23.30.1
18.018.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.2
End1.9
Third
2395
#43
16.80.3
17.217.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 2.3
2359
#33
19.10.1
12.212.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsMissed