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Red70
452318.1
509830.6
946219.7
Blue84
543712.0
400552.7
3128.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74840501001502002503007084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +5
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points30
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
45Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points4
70Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#26
30.60.1
33.733.7
Auto6.5
Teleop19.7
End4.4
blue by 22.1
4005
#10
52.70.0
46.046.0
Auto11.0
Teleop31.8
End9.8
Second
9462
#23
19.70.1
17.317.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End5.7
blue by 8.4
31
#15
28.00.0
19.419.4
Auto3.6
Teleop18.0
End6.3
Third
4523
#45
18.10.1
17.817.9
Auto1.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
red by 6.1
5437
#25
12.00.0
14.914.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned