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Red88
176435.8
277319.3
588921.1
Blue108
1066128.8
602627.1
198659.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57117010015020088108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
16Coral scored#17
59Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
73Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#7
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
88Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#18
35.81.9
30.332.2
Auto8.3
Teleop25.3
End2.2
blue by 23.5
59.30.5
55.656.1
Auto14.7
Teleop38.6
End6.1
Second
5889
#42
21.12.3
16.618.9
Auto2.7
Teleop15.8
End2.6
blue by 7.6
28.80.7
17.518.1
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End6.6
Third
2773
#30
19.32.3
6.89.2
Auto1.9
Teleop14.9
End2.6
blue by 7.7
6026
#28
27.10.6
21.622.3
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed