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Red218
452279.7
545441.7
156161.0
Blue95
476642.0
120926.1
216528.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172925015020025021895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+45Auto
+105Teleop
+125Endgame
+123Fouls
AutonomousRed +45
3Leave3
10Coral scored#1
51Coral points6
54Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +60
23Coral scored#15
84Coral points54
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
30Processor points12
24Net points12
54Algae points24
138Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#7
9L3#4
9L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
44Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +123
0Foul points2
218Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.74.2
65.469.6
Auto20.0
Teleop51.7
End8.0
red by 37.7
42.00.1
31.431.3
Auto7.9
Teleop28.3
End5.7
Second
61.04.7
46.851.5
Auto14.4
Teleop39.0
End7.6
red by 32.6
2165
#38
28.30.1
31.231.1
Auto4.1
Teleop23.1
End1.2
Third
41.75.2
33.538.7
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End2.8
red by 15.6
1209
#20
26.10.1
23.423.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed