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Red135
509830.6
1066128.8
476642.0
Blue107
181923.3
193926.1
216528.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12392050150200135107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+18Teleop
+32Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
19Coral scored#15
70Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
98Total teleop90
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#24
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
2Foul points6
135Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.6
37.237.8
Auto7.9
Teleop28.3
End5.7
red by 13.7
2165
#38
28.30.3
29.429.1
Auto4.1
Teleop23.1
End1.2
Second
5098
#26
30.60.6
32.433.1
Auto6.5
Teleop19.7
End4.4
red by 4.6
1939
#41
26.10.3
24.624.3
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End2.9
Third
28.80.6
24.224.9
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End6.6
red by 5.5
1819
#22
23.30.3
19.519.2
Auto4.2
Teleop17.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed