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Red83
393131.9
183218.5
680929.4
Blue104
198659.3
239516.8
120926.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8211305010015020025083104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+23
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +13
12Coral scored#16
43Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
63Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
83Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#14
31.90.4
28.328.8
Auto8.6
Teleop21.7
End1.7
blue by 27.4
59.30.1
60.861.0
Auto14.7
Teleop38.6
End6.1
Second
6809
#13
29.40.7
29.229.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.5
End8.3
red by 3.3
1209
#20
26.10.1
24.824.9
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Third
1832
#31
18.50.7
15.716.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
red by 1.7
2395
#43
16.80.1
13.613.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed