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Red149
237337.8
3128.0
156161.0
Blue63
234516.9
1037710.5
588921.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14252010020025014963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+72Teleop
+80Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +62
24Coral scored#8
86Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
110Total teleop48
Reef
11L4#4
6L3#3
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
6Foul points0
149Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.9
57.358.1
Auto14.4
Teleop39.0
End7.6
red by 39.9
5889
#42
21.10.2
21.321.1
Auto2.7
Teleop15.8
End2.6
Second
37.81.3
32.233.6
Auto6.3
Teleop27.2
End4.2
red by 20.9
2345
#17
16.90.2
16.115.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End0.9
Third
31
#15
28.00.9
23.324.2
Auto3.6
Teleop18.0
End6.3
red by 17.5
10.50.4
12.712.3
Auto2.0
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed