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Red159
317935.7
400552.7
452279.7
Blue91
372922.3
555050.6
460329.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175875010015020025015991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+68Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave9
8Coral scored#1
40Coral points7
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +44
20Coral scored#10
71Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
95Total teleop51
Reef
11L4#3
6L3#3
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
159Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.70.2
75.475.5
Auto20.0
Teleop51.7
End8.0
red by 29.1
5550
#12
50.60.1
45.745.5
Auto10.4
Teleop35.5
End4.8
Second
4005
#10
52.70.2
47.547.7
Auto11.0
Teleop31.8
End9.8
red by 23.0
4603
#11
29.70.1
24.924.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
Third
3179
#24
35.70.2
33.834.0
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End4.1
red by 13.5
3729
#34
22.30.1
22.622.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned