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Red107
346529.7
713029.5
176435.8
Blue157
271843.8
233326.4
235919.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11190050150200250107157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+12
Endgame+24
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
18Coral scored#14
63Coral points50
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#3
6Processor points24
12Net points12
18Algae points36
81Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
6Foul points32
107Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#18
35.80.3
34.734.4
Auto8.3
Teleop25.3
End2.2
blue by 8.0
43.82.4
39.842.2
Auto10.2
Teleop29.5
End4.1
Second
3465
#27
29.70.3
29.228.9
Auto4.6
Teleop22.6
End2.6
red by 3.3
2333
#19
26.42.4
19.822.2
Auto3.5
Teleop15.8
End7.1
Third
7130
#32
29.50.3
28.027.7
Auto6.1
Teleop20.3
End3.1
red by 10.4
2359
#33
19.12.4
15.017.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned