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Red81
900722.2
277319.3
324729.0
Blue40
1037810.6
452318.1
235240.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708202040601001201401608140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+41Teleop
+53Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#4
34Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
54Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points12
81Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3247
#29
29.01.2
24.725.9
Auto4.8
Teleop21.0
End3.3
blue by 11.3
2352
#37
40.42.9
39.236.4
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End2.2
Second
9007
#35
22.21.8
18.820.6
Auto3.6
Teleop16.4
End2.2
red by 4.1
4523
#45
18.12.9
17.814.9
Auto1.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Third
2773
#30
19.31.2
17.018.2
Auto1.9
Teleop14.9
End2.6
red by 8.7
10.64.4
13.99.4
Auto2.0
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed