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Red105
235240.4
602627.1
900722.2
Blue113
680929.4
476642.0
237337.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94118050150200105113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+4Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +12
19Coral scored#17
70Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
92Total teleop80
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
105Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#37
40.40.5
36.436.9
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End2.2
blue by 1.7
42.00.0
37.837.8
Auto7.9
Teleop28.3
End5.7
Second
6026
#28
27.10.5
28.629.2
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End0.3
blue by 10.7
37.80.0
33.633.6
Auto6.3
Teleop27.2
End4.2
Third
9007
#35
22.20.8
20.621.4
Auto3.6
Teleop16.4
End2.2
blue by 7.2
6809
#13
29.40.0
29.930.0
Auto3.6
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned