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Red152
198659.3
216528.3
555050.6
Blue140
156161.0
239516.8
233326.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16912050100150200250152140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+32Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave9
4Coral scored#3
22Coral points14
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +33
22Coral scored#20
80Coral points73
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
12Processor points6
32Net points12
44Algae points18
124Total teleop91
Reef
10L4#13
5L3#4
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
152Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.2
59.559.3
Auto14.7
Teleop38.6
End6.1
blue by 1.7
61.01.3
59.761.0
Auto14.4
Teleop39.0
End7.6
Second
5550
#12
50.60.2
48.448.2
Auto10.4
Teleop35.5
End4.8
red by 24.2
2333
#19
26.41.3
25.126.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.8
End7.1
Third
2165
#38
28.30.2
27.927.7
Auto4.1
Teleop23.1
End1.2
red by 11.5
2395
#43
16.81.3
15.516.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned