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Red156
3128.0
1066128.8
642464.6
Blue174
545441.7
406869.3
237337.8
17%Model gave it83%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121156100200156174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+48
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +16
3Leave6
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points33
23Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +32
20Coral scored#29
73Coral points105
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
97Total teleop129
Reef
9L4#14
5L3#11
6L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#41
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
156Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.63.2
60.663.8
Auto12.3
Teleop40.8
End11.5
blue by 4.7
69.32.6
63.065.6
Auto20.1
Teleop45.9
End3.3
Second
28.83.2
23.226.3
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End6.6
blue by 13.0
41.72.6
38.541.1
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End2.8
Third
31
#15
28.03.2
24.928.0
Auto3.6
Teleop18.0
End6.3
blue by 9.8
37.83.4
33.637.1
Auto6.3
Teleop27.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed50%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed