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Red45
208334.2
602627.1
1037710.5
Blue72
460329.7
543712.0
452318.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions945602040801201401604572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +18
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
35Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points2
45Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#39
34.22.1
34.232.1
Auto6.9
Teleop24.3
End3.0
red by 4.5
4603
#11
29.71.0
26.327.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
Second
6026
#28
27.12.1
29.227.1
Auto4.0
Teleop22.8
End0.3
red by 9.0
4523
#45
18.11.0
17.018.1
Auto1.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Third
10.52.8
13.310.5
Auto2.0
Teleop6.4
End2.1
blue by 1.5
5437
#25
12.01.0
10.912.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed